The recent dynamic contextual shift in the Northern Syrian conflict between the invading Turkish Army and the withdrawal of American military presence in the region has shifted the strategic relevance of Operation Inherent Resolve dramatically resulting in the inadvertent freeing of captured ISIS fighters and their families in the thousands and the persecution and annihilation of the Kurdish SDF elements that aided the Operation Inherent Resolve anti-Daesh strategic mission.
Paradoxically, the Assad regime Syrian Army have now been mobilised into the region and have become the Defenders of depleted and outflanked Kurdish SDF resistance, within the Rojava region, and in doing so, enjoining a former enemy in the Sunni Kurds, within the SDF, as an unlikely ally, between a Shia Assad Regime with a predominantly Sunni Kurdish SDF, in repelling the Turkish invasion force, into Syrian territory. In doing so, the presumption of a Islamic sectarian based conflict would be morphed into a conflict based purely on geo-strategic dominion based on racism and of National sovereignty significance. Furthermore, the Kurdish Nationalism question is further displaced with Syrian sovereignty defence. A Turkish Buffer zone, likened to the Israeli acquired Golan Heights in the Southern Syrian region, will not be tolerated by the Assad regime as well as the Kurdish enclaves, whose ancient geo-political designs is in pursuit of their Nationalistic strategic objectives. Again, this matter is being displaced by both the Turkish and Syrian sovereign border fist to cuff and a quasi Golan Heights designs by the Turkish President.
As for the American strategic objective for disengaging the impending Turkish military invasion with the Turkish Operation Peace Spring
" After all, in the United States' eyes, the SDF's strategic value is significantly smaller than that of Turkey's. For
Washington, the SDF has proved useful as a bulwark against the Islamic State,
with some added benefit of extending U.S. influence in Syria. On the other
hand, despite its rocky relationship with the United States, Turkey remains a
significant economic power, has the second-largest military in NATO and
occupies a critical geographic position on Russia's southern flank ." Stratfor
Therefore, it seems that the Americans, like NATO, and Russia, will allow for the gambit and middle game to play out, whilst issuing economic sanction slap on the wrist against a very powerful NATO ally, in Turkey.
Timoteo Tufuga
Source:
https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/1988372/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-dr-mark-t-esper-regarding-turkey-syria-border/fbclid/IwAR3uGQM9iOMki2lMKBD5Fgul5dK1nTF_GkBiVw9uXLbcq0mibzaW43Xf2oU/#.XaT-1OFeRFc.facebook
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