Tuesday, 17 December 2019

The death toll from the Samoan measles epidemic continues to rise. 75 deaths reported by the 18th December, 2019. By Tim Brian Tufuga

The death toll from the Samoan measles epidemic continues to rise.

75 deaths reported by the 18th December, 2019.

The death toll is still expected to rise as the reported cases of the measles outbreak has risen to 5331 from a total population of 201,000 this is 2.65% of the total population infected. Of that infected number 75 confirmed deaths. 75 deaths is 0.037% of the Samoan population who have died from the measles.

Crunching the numbers.

2.65% of the Samoan population infected with the measles is comparable to 662,500 of the Australian population being infected with the measles. Comparably speaking, 0.037% of the Australian population is 9,250 Australians having perished from the measles to date.

The anxiety during the 2019 festive season is vire moribund and gloomy for an entire Nation.

The sins of false science and a proselytising conspiracy theory by the proponents for the anti-vaccination campaign over the past three decades in Samoa has exacerbated the problem. The Tongan and Fijian outbreak of the same measles epidemic had next to no casualties due to the effective vaccination programs from their respective health authorities which was countermanded by the Samoan anti-vaccination campaign which had reduced the vaccination roll out throughout the sparsely populated Nation of Samoa to only a 34% (wikipedia) in 2018. A crucial period since the number of deaths from the measles were for babies under the age of four.

The anti-vaccination program would become a powerful campaign which would include celebrity visitors to Samoa, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the son of Senator Robert F Kennedy assassinated in 1968, and brother of assassinated President John F Kennedy; and most recently, the NRL WAG wife of Frank Winterstein, Taylor Winterstein, amongst the notable Anti-Vaxer Celebrities, who had impressed a seemingly gullible Samoan Nation.

The outcome would be the greatest misinformation campaign engineered by Populist Celebrities, at the expense of an entire National Health Campaign of Samoa.

Alas, with the success of the Anti-Vaxer Celebrities upon Samoan National Health Policy, as you sow, so shall you reap. The outcome ineluctably has been the vulnerability of the unvaccinated to the preventable diseases such as the common Measles which was almost wiped out with the advent of the anti-measles vaccine half a century ago.


In a biblical told you so...

"This is what the LORD says: "About midnight I will go throughout Egypt. Every firstborn son in Egypt will die, from the firstborn son of Pharaoh, who sits on the throne, to the firstborn of the slave girl, who is at her hand mill, and all the firstborn of the cattle as well. There will be loud wailing throughout Egypt—worse than there has ever been or ever will be again."

— Exodus 11:4–6

The measles epidemic is likened to the instructions for the Passover process with the Samoan villages having to place red flags for Health authorities to arrive and vaccinate their unvaccinated members of the family.

The lessons learnt from the Samoan measles epidemic seems very frank and blunt.

1. Do not trust or adhere to unqualified Medical and Health advise from people ill qualified to proffer esoteric medical advise that would be detrimental to the health of the individual, their families and the community at large. Or, as in the case of Samoa, the National Health Policy of the Samoan Nation.

2. Trust the Medical science advances throughout Medical history. Whilst there has been some hit and misses insofar as medical breakthroughs are concerned there have been some isolated cases of vaccination failures, but, in such instances these health failures are isolated to individual medical conditions of the patient which may not be universally applicable to the community at large.

18th December, 2019.
Timoteo Tufuga​

Sources:

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Samoa_measles_outbreak
2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taylor_Winterstein
3. https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2019/11/26/deadly-measles-outbreak-hits-children-samoa-after-anti-vaccine-fears/

Monday, 14 October 2019

Turkey’s Golan Heights. By Tim Brian Tufuga

Turkey’s Golan Heights

The recent dynamic contextual shift in the Northern Syrian conflict between the invading Turkish Army and the withdrawal of American military presence in the region has shifted the strategic relevance of Operation Inherent Resolve dramatically resulting in the inadvertent freeing of captured ISIS fighters and their families in the thousands and the persecution and annihilation of the Kurdish SDF elements that aided the Operation Inherent Resolve anti-Daesh strategic mission.
Paradoxically, the Assad regime Syrian Army have now been mobilised into the region and have become the Defenders of depleted and outflanked Kurdish SDF resistance, within the Rojava region, and in doing so, enjoining a former enemy in the Sunni Kurds, within the SDF, as an unlikely ally, between a Shia Assad Regime with a predominantly Sunni Kurdish SDF, in repelling the Turkish invasion force, into Syrian territory. In doing so, the presumption of a Islamic sectarian based conflict would be morphed into a conflict based purely on geo-strategic dominion based on racism and of National sovereignty significance. Furthermore, the Kurdish Nationalism question is further displaced with Syrian sovereignty defence. A Turkish Buffer zone, likened to the Israeli acquired Golan Heights in the Southern Syrian region, will not be tolerated by the Assad regime as well as the Kurdish enclaves, whose ancient geo-political designs is in pursuit of their Nationalistic strategic objectives. Again, this matter is being displaced by both the Turkish and Syrian sovereign border fist to cuff and a quasi Golan Heights designs by the Turkish President.
As for the American strategic objective for disengaging the impending Turkish military invasion with the Turkish Operation Peace Spring
" After all, in the United States' eyes, the SDF's strategic value is significantly smaller than that of Turkey's. For
Washington, the SDF has proved useful as a bulwark against the Islamic State,
with some added benefit of extending U.S. influence in Syria. On the other
hand, despite its rocky relationship with the United States, Turkey remains a
significant economic power, has the second-largest military in NATO and
occupies a critical geographic position on Russia's southern flank ." Stratfor
Therefore, it seems that the Americans, like NATO, and Russia, will allow for the gambit and middle game to play out, whilst issuing economic sanction slap on the wrist against a very powerful NATO ally, in Turkey.
Timoteo Tufuga


Source:
https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/1988372/statement-by-secretary-of-defense-dr-mark-t-esper-regarding-turkey-syria-border/fbclid/IwAR3uGQM9iOMki2lMKBD5Fgul5dK1nTF_GkBiVw9uXLbcq0mibzaW43Xf2oU/#.XaT-1OFeRFc.facebook

Wednesday, 9 October 2019

The Enemy of my Enemy makes you my friend .By Tim Tufuga


(Hurriyet Daily News)
It appears to be the case for the Islamic State that the enemy of my enemy makes you my friend,
which seems to bode well in this instance.
The Islamic State unleashes their revenge against the Syrian Democratic Front (SDF), who ousted and destroyed IS, with the assistance of the Americans, during Operation Inherent Resolve (OIR), the IS are about to be avenged with the assistance of the Turkish military with the
annihilation of the SDF. This time, in this three pronged conflict, the SDF are drawn into the same side with the Syrian Army, as the enemy according to NATO through its member nation Turkey.

It appears that NATO needs to seriously revise their membership and objective when it comes to the Middle East.

The IS had long sought logistical supplies and material support from the Turkish border to the North of the former IS Caliphate, now, it appears that the Turkish military could not resist the temptation to sweep South and to invade the Kurdish enclaves within the Rojava Region of
Northern Syria. A temptation too difficult to resist by Turkey as Operation Peace Spring is launched today.

# timtufuga , # TurkeySyrianconflict , # SyrianDemocraticFront , # TurkishOperationPeaceSpring ,
# timbtufuga ,
Timoteo Tufuga

Source:

1. https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/syria-us-will-step-aside-turkeys-push-against-sdf-kur
dish-militias-ypg-pkk?fbclid=IwAR1QIWHotlJuLhvsg5DaXvf71AquXwYiApoOTj2obgt2yH
ZnZ369DgAAJTs
2. https://www.news.com.au/world/middle-east/turkey-launches-operation-peace-spring-milit
ary-offensive-on-syria/news-story/ae521cf9acc1e062b9aa3e8cdf79e57e
3. http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-troops-syrian-national-army-begin-operation-pe
ace-spring-in-northern-syria-erdogan-147320

Monday, 16 September 2019

US blames Iran for Saudi oil attack despite Iranian denials | DW News Promoting local Shale Oil and Venezuela oil. By Tim Tufuga



It simply means that Aramco is not secure and Venezuela and Fracking oil within America is elevated in status and importance. Saudi Arabia is no longer worth the risk. It is great news in the war against Islamic Terrorism in the long run. Well done Yemen you've promoted the domestic American Shale oil industry and created local American jobs. Also, you've promoted Venezuela who have been struggling due to US sanctions. A win win for the West.

Tim Tufuga

Saturday, 14 September 2019

Disincentivising the penal mentality by outlawing Private Prisons. By Tim Tufuga

A process to lessen the high crime rate through disincentivising the business model approach of the punitive culture, and the penal population, throughout many societies, by putting an end to the business model ethic approach to the punitive justice system.

With the rise of private prisons, there has been a comparable rise in the crime rates and especially the prison population to match the perpetual rise in the penal population and the underclass of most societies. The usual clientele are often racially profiled, and are socio-economically struggling and are more often than not are under employed; they are from the wrong side of the tracks, and from impoverished communities.

With the rise of private prisons, the proportion of escalating crime rates have gone hand in hand with the perpetual rise of private prisons commodifying the poor and lowly educated as money making inmates. Like cattle they are groomed to be future highly valued inmates, been plied with drug dependency and lack of employment, they go in for minor offences a graduate as recidivists, reoffending for more serious crimes, so as to line the pockets of some very wealthy private prisons.

By Tim Tufuga
Source:
Del Valle, G, https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/mbm7a8/california-just-banned-private-prisons-including-ice-detention-facilities?utm_source=vicefbus&fbclid=IwAR0lWirWnwriOTGTy_D77G975xlOH9Zjy7g6MdO6UbypjOV7JH95S9GFscw September 13th, 2019.

Sunday, 1 September 2019

Hong Kong fight for Judicial parity or a war for Independence? By Tim Brian Tufuga


I can not envisage a win for the pro democracy protesters in ensuring that mandatory deportation of arraigned criminal suspects to other Chinese courts will be averted by the Hong Kong court systems unless some local jurisdictional institution is implemented to mirror the mainland superior court system to have the arraigned individuals cases being dealt with within a Hong Kong court. That way, the Hong Kong justice system will not be out of step with the mainland higher court systems and deportations will be averted.....Otherwise....we may be facing an attempt at a coup d'etat in which case, Hong Kong may form into a Secessionist government and people not dissimilar with Crimea and Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts within Ukraine which has exacerbated the Ukrainian sovereign borders which has been wilted away with the secessionist Oblast regions of Luhansk and Donetsk. Hong Kong may be emulating the Ukrainian Crimean and now the Luhansk and Donetsk self determination civil strife. If this eventuates we may see a real bloodbath with the full might of the Red Dragon befalling Hong Kong and no Nation outside of China will be able to intervene in this clampdown of any suggestion of an Independent Hong Kong Sovereign Nation in the making. If so....then SEATO and other local South East Asian military under the leadership of the US may have to intervene in which case I doubt that they will step in to take on the Mighty Red Dragon in a face to face punch up.
Timoteo Tufuga

Source:

1. Perrone, A, Independent, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/hong-kong-protests-today-latest-protesters-airport-travel-disruption-tear-gas-a9087381.html 2nd September, 2019.

2. Hong Kong Independence, Wikipedia.com, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hong_Kong_independence

3. The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/aug/13/what-do-the-hong-kong-protesters-want 13th August, 2019.

4. The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/sep/02/hong-kong-protests-calls-grow-to-give-citizens-right-to-live-and-work-in-uk?CMP=share_btn_fb&fbclid=IwAR10EwH79tHWQr9U02CqIVft7pxlYdFZIqZmS6GSLiRn06dD_qWAlfisRtg 2nd September, 2019.

Thursday, 18 April 2019

Turkey will receive the Russian S400 Air Defense Missile Batteries, at the cost of the 100 JSF35s from the US, on July, 2019. By Tim Tufuga


(Google images)
Turkey will receive the Russian S400 Air Defense Missile Batteries, at the cost of the 100
JSF35s from the US, on July, 2019.

More significantly, is the higher probability that Turkey will most likely be refused NATO
membership soon after which will result in Russia becoming a most likely future ally of Turkey.

(Google images)

Meanwhile, tensions between Turkey and Greece over this likely anti-NATO and anti-European Union stance has suddenly become hostile with the Greeks have returned to their traditional hostile stance towards their traditional Ottoman enemy centuries in the making.

Times are a changing and alliances are shifting in the world. Brexit and Turkey are moving the goalposts in European and global politics.

Whilst the EU has been dominated by the Germans as the strongest economy in the EU, and the Turkish government are resorting to a century ago attitudes, it seems that even after a century of dynamic and dramatic events, the more things change, the more they stay the same.

With Brexit, the Anglo-American British Raj and colonial conceit has countered the German dominated EU. Meanwhile, the Turkish attitude against the EU and NATO, has also displayed a very conceited attitude of the Turkish government which reminds the world of the Ottoman Empire's conceit and imperial arrogance against the Western world over a century ago. A memory very close to the ANZACs with the landing on Gallipoli and the loss against the Ottomans, yes, the Turks, back then. A loss to the Turks that is constantly reminded to ANZACs every 25th of April of each year, as ANZAC day. A day celebrated by Turkey as the day when the ANZACs were soundly beaten back to their ships and away from Gallipoli and Turkish lands.

Today, there are constant reminders of a century of political and historical memories in global politics. (Timoteo Tufuga)
Tim Tufuga

Source:
Gursel, Kadrei, Al Monitor,
https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2019/04/turkey-russia-ankara-anti-west-attitude-pl
ays-into-hands.html 18th April, 2019.

Friday, 12 April 2019

Asau Port, a Chinese Pearl in the Pacific. By Tim Brian Tufuga

According to The Australian newspaper by journalist Rory Calliman
“China is negotiating to fund the redevelopment of a coral-choked port in Samoa, in a move seen to have major economic and strat­egic implications for Australia and the US in the South Pacific.
Samoa’s Agriculture Minister confirmed that discussions were under way with China to bankroll the redevelopment and expansion of the Asau Port, which alread­y boasts a concrete wharf and is sited next to an airstrip on Savai’i, the nation’s largest island.”, (The Australian, November 26th, 2018)
(Asau Harbour, Tim Tufuga May, 2018)

What may seem innocuous to the goodwill development of fragile developing Island economies of the South Pacific, may in a geo-political and even a military strategic standpoint for Sino-hegemonic ascendency, may be considered as connecting the PEARL STRINGS of the Pacific Region into the Chinese strategic network.
As similar to the String of Pearls strategic objective of the Chinese regional expansion throughout the Indian Ocean region, the Pacific Region has been specifically targeted by the Chinese as well. (2)
Asau Harbour, in particular, has been considered as an fertile strategic target for acquiring a strategic Pearl for the Sino-Pacific regional design.
Asau Harbour, in the North Western region of Savai’i Island, is part of the Vaisigano District, and is the capital of the Vaisigano District of Pule in Samoa. Strategically, Asau harbour, and its Port, is an ideal approach to Samoa from the Western Pacific.

(Google Maps)
Utuloa, is part of the Eastern most entrance to the Harbour, There is a Wharf located here which had once served to transport lumber destined for papermills and construction offshore.
Personally, Utuloa, is my ancient Matrilineal homeland. My mother was born here, my Grandma, my uncles and aunts, were also born here, and, those descendants from my matrilineal extended family, still live here.
The “Strings of Pearls” has manifested the revised ‘domino theory’ ideological fear of the Cold War ‘Red Peril’, which was once coined during the period of international relations, otherwise known as the McCarthy era from the late 1940s, which in 2019, is now known as the ‘Strings of Pearls’, which is a network of Sino-Hegemonic geo-political infrastructural lines of communications, military bases and networks of commercial activity, strategically emplaced as part of the nascent rise of a Sino-Neo-colonial expansion throughout South East Asia, Indian and now the Pacific Region.
What has become a personal intrusion in my cultural heritage is the audacity of certain Political machinery of government which has allowed the inexplicable commercial purpose for the infrastructural re-development of the Utuloa Wharf, and the Asau Harbour, other than for a very dubious goodwill gesture. However, with a bigger picture glance at a Djibouti-like strategic motive, the development may have another military ulterior motive for the inexplicable commercial reason for the Chinese to want to invest on the Asau project.
Herein, lies the rub for why Asau Wharf, and the Asau Harbour has been earmarked for a very generous Chinese Pork Barrelling like gestures for the hearts and minds of my family and the people of Asau, so as to allow for the development of a seemingly inoperable wharf, and Asau harbour.
The ulterior motives seems to point towards the Strings of Pearls in the Pacific Region and the Djibouti Chinese base in the South Pacific as a plausible objective as well.
Timoteo Tufuga




Sources:
(1) The Australian, Calliman, R, https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/foreign-affairs/chinas-plan-to-develop-samoan-port-a-regional-security-concern/news-story/ede01bfe7ac23d97e2872a3ff6a07368?fbclid=IwAR2Zcro60idFjVwW_zqK-ZISQzx654hKYQb6SU5FVFLn6frmWdobLghLnxM November 26, 2018.
(2) Wikipedia, Chinese Military Base, Djibouti, ttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_People's_Liberation_Army_Support_Base_in_Djibouti
(3) Wikipedia, String of Pearls, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/String_of_Pearls_(Indian_Ocean)
(4) Wikipedia, McCarthyism, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McCarthyism
(5) Wikipedia, Chinese Peoples Liberation Army support Base in Djibouti, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_People%27s_Liberation_Army_Support_Base_in_Djibouti

Friday, 15 March 2019

The face of hatred Brenton Tarrant.

There seems to be a symbiosis between ultra right wing or Alt Right Terrorists and Islamic Jihadists and that is the hatred narrative and the propensity to resort to acts of terrorism to deliver their message of hatred to the world. Whilst there is no difference of whether they commit these acts of violence in so called land of the Kafir, ie in Western societies or within Islamic Holy lands, the narrative message of violence knows no bounds. Even in the City in which I was born in, Christchurch, in which Muslims are a very rare, and learning that there was a Mosque in Christchurch was news for me, let alone there being two Mosques in Christchurch has really surprised me when I heard that the terrorism has finally arrived at my city of birth where such violence has never occurred before. Americans, Europeans, and Middle Eastern may be inured with such acts of terror, we in the South Pacific seldom experience such violence because the interactions between Muslims and Secular Societies iin our region are very rare. So now, we are finally all tarnished by the same brush and since this unprecedented event, We will probably see New Zealand police officers armed for the first time and more armed government officers and agents as never before. National Security in New Zealand as well as Australia will be elevated to an even higher alert level than ever before. Who to watch out for now? The duality of hatred, the Ultra Right and the Jihadist Extremists.

Tim Tufuga
16th March, 2019.

Friday, 11 January 2019

Samoa Consulate and thirty eight other consulates, High Commissions and Embassies targeted by a Shepparton, Victorian, Xenophobe.

The Samoan Consulate in Sydney, Australia, was sent a suspicious package, as amongst the thirty eight Consulates, High Commissions and Embassies, recently targeted, allegedly, by a lone wolf, a Shepparton, Victorian, Australian man. His motivation for doing so can be motivated by a deep xenophobic reason and one may clearly view this action as difficult to level at a single person. Often a distribution of such a large number of packages to numerous international consulates, High Commissions and Embassies, would arouse instant suspicions at the mail sorting areas especially at its source, at the Shepparton mail centre, utilizing xray scanning devices. But, this was not part of the Australian Post procedure as yet.

Needless to say, for something like a bomb threat and suspicious mail, the Australian Intelligence Community are on instant nationwide and global alert. In response to the numerous suspicious packages sent to some 38 Consulates, High Commissions and Embassies, the suspects or suspect was easily isolated and a person of interest from Shepparton, Victoria, was apprehended and remanded in custody. More likely this gentleman will be charged under the Counter Terrorism legislation and will be thrown the book at and will not be allowed to see the light of day probably for the rest of his life.

Tim Tufuga

Sources

1. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6579779/Samoan-consulate-evacuated-two-workers-forced-contaminated-handling-suspicious-package.html

2. https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/suspicious-package-found-at-samoan-consulate-in-sydney/vi-BBS5AxC

Tuesday, 1 January 2019

Happy Australia Day. January 1st, 1901.

(Wikipedia)

January 1st....Happy Australia Day people!!!

On January the 1st, 1901, The Commonwealth of Australia was inaugurated in a ceremony in Sydney.

On this day, the Federal Government of Australia came into existence uniting the separate Australian States into one NATION.

The birth of Australia was on this day, the 1st of January, 1901.

Australia's Federation Day. Inauguration Day.

This is the real AUSTRALIA DAY.

The BIRTH OF A NATION.

Tim Tufuga
Source

https://www.australia.gov.au/about-government/how-government-works/federation